ANALISIS VALOTILITAS KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN MODEL GARCH
Abstract
This study aims to analyze the volatility of consumption in Indonesia. The data used in this study is in the form of quarterly data starting from the first quarter of 2000 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (n=88). Data analysis model using GARCH. The results of this study indicate that consumption volatility occurs due to changes in income and inflation. Income and inflation that occur in Indonesia also affect the volatility of consumption levels in society. The implication of this research is to anticipate consumption volatility, it is hoped that the government can control and monitor the stability of the inflation rate with an inflation targeting framework or the government trying to reduce spending, change tax rates or make loans.
Keywords
Konsumsi, Pendapatan, Inflasi, GARCH
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.24815/ekapi.v9i2.31433
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