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Home > Volume 2, Number 1, June 2019 > Mutaqin
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Asep Rusyana
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Syiah Kuala University
Jalan Syech Abdurrauf No.3, Kopelma Darussalam, Banda Aceh 23111, Aceh, Indonesia
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Prediksi Klasemen Akhir Kompetisi Sepakbola Indonesia Menggunakan Metode Perluasan Ekspektasi Phytagoras

Aceng Komarudin Mutaqin, Yhupi Praga Adri

Abstract

Makalah ini menerapkan metode perluasan ekspektasi Phytagoras pada data hasil pertandingan kompetisi sepak bola Liga Indonesia untuk memprediksi klasemen akhir kompetisi. Jumlah gol memasukan dan jumlah gol kemasukan dalam suatu pertandingan dari suatu tim selama satu musim kompetisi dimodelkan sebagai peubah acak yang berdistribusi Poisson. Dalam makalah ini data yang digunakan adalah data hasil pertandingan kompetisi sepakbola Indonesia Super League (ISL) tahun 2013. Hasil pengolahan data menunjukkan bahwa metode perluasan ekspektasi Phytagoras dengan asumsi distribusi Poisson mampu mengelompokkan dengan baik ranking dari tim peserta kompetisi ISL 2013.

 

This paper applies the method of extending Pythagoras’ expectations to the results of the matches of the Indonesian League soccer competition to predict the final standings of the competition. The number of goals entered and the number of goals conceded in a match from a team for one season is modeled as a random variable with Poisson distribution. In this paper the data used is data on the results of the 2013 Indonesia Super League (ISL) soccer competition. The results of data processing showed that the method of expansion of Pythagoras’ expectations assuming the Poisson distribution was able to classify the ranking of participants of the ISL 2013 competition well. The team whose performance exceeds expectations is the PERSELA Team. While the team whose performance is below expectations is the SRIWIJAYA Team.

 Keywords

Distribusi Poisson; Uji Chi-Square; Indonesia Super League; Ekspektasi Phytagoras

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References

Albert, J., Glickman, M. E., Swartz, T. B., Koning, R. H. (2017). Handbook of Statistical Methods and Analyses in Sports. CRC Press, New York.

Braunstein, A. (2010). Consistency and Pythagoras. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, Vol. 6, Issue 1, Article 8.

Hamilton. H. H. (2011). An Extention of Pythagorean Expectation for Association Football. Soccermetrics Research Publications.

Johnson, N. L., Kotz, S., Balakrishnan, N. (1994). Continuous Univariate Distributions. Volume 1, Second Edition. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York.

Karami, L. R. (2011). Sejarah Kompetisi Sepak Bola Indonesia, dilihat dari Viva Bola website: http://www.viva.co.id/bola/read/243398-sejarah-kompetisi-sepak-bola-indonesia.

PT. Liga Indonesia. (2013). Hasil Pertandingan Indonesia Super League 2013, dilihat dari Liga Indonesia website: http://ligaindonesia.co.id/index.php/read/isl/Inilah-Pembagian-Wilayah-ISL-2014-5637#.WFAt3NKLTMy.

Ross, S. M. (2002). A First Course in Probability. Sixth Edition. Prentice Hall, Ney Jersey.

Severini, T. A. (2015). Analytic Methods in Sports. CRC Press, New York.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.24815/jarsp.v%25vi%25i.14123

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About The Authors

Aceng Komarudin Mutaqin
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Bandung Islamic University
Indonesia

Yhupi Praga Adri
Program Studi Statistika, Universitas Islam Bandung
Hong Kong

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Keywords ARIMA Analisis Regresi Aset Bank Bayesian Biplot Canonical correlation analysis Complete lingkage Computer Network Degree of poverty Development areas Forecasting Kesehatan Masyarakat Mean lingkage Multidimensional Poverty indicators Quality of Service Sensitivitas Software-defined Network Spatial Error Model Structural Equation Model, Analisis Jalur, Status Gizi Remaja pembelajaran statistika
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